RSC Senior Analyst Mikayel Zolyan, in an analytical article for the online weekly magazine EVN Report, offered a unique assessment of the domestic political situation in Armenia, with a focus on the possibility of the incumbent president continuing to serve as the head of state. The article, entitled “To Be or Not to Be Prime Minister? Serzh Sargsyan’s Dilemma and What it Means for Armenia’s Politics,” was published on 8 August.
According to Zolyan, “many Armenians are equally disappointed with the government and the opposition, as well as with the legal means of political struggle, that is people no longer believe that government can be changed through elections. As opposition parties are weak and lack credibility, these protests are more likely to be dominated by radicals and result in violence.”
Over the long-term, he argues, “this means that either street protests or armed incidents are possible in the medium and long-term perspective. And it is possible to imagine a situation, in which a perspective of indefinite prolongation of Sargsyan’s power can trigger protests. So, even though Sargsyan’s chess game so far seems to be progressing without major hurdles, the question of what will happen to Armenia’s political system in April 2018 remains open.”