The attached is our latest “RSC Nagorno-Karabakh Situational Assessment,” covering the most recent escalation, from 4-11 December, in which at least half of dozen deaths were reported from all sides, a military UAV was shot down and a tank unit was used for the first time since the signing of the 1994 ceasefire.
As an independent think tank based in Yerevan, Armenia, the Regional Studies Center (RSC) regularly monitors the military security situation related to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. As part of this effort, the RSC produces a series of brief analytical security products, or “Situational Assessments,” in conjunction with our monthly monitoring of ceasefire violations.
Our Situational Assessments are derived from our analysis of force posture, order of battle and deployment, threat perception and broader trends in procurement. The RSC also regularly produces a set of policy recommendations, targeting both the local parties to the conflict as well as the international community, aimed at defusing tension and promoting a de-escalation of tension.