Five years since the sudden outbreak of war between Georgia and Russia on August 7, 2008, the regional landscape of the South Caucasus has shifted significantly. The direct impact of the Georgia-Russia war was profound, and resulted in the Russian recognition of the independence of Georgia’s breakaway regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, a setback to Georgian aspirations to join the NATO alliance, and a dramatic escalation of tension between Moscow and Tbilisi. Each of these developments came amid the backdrop of both a projection of Russian power and a consolidation of Russian influence throughout much of the South Caucasus..
Issue No. 51/52
17 June 2013
“The South Caucasus between the EU and the Eurasian Union”
Authors: Iris Kempe, Temuri Yakobashvili, Fyodor Lukyanov, Richard Giragosian, Vugar Bayramov, Anar Valiyev
Editors: Jeronim Perović, Lili Di Puppo, Iris Kempe, Heiko Pleines, Matthias Neumann, Robert Orttung
In the wake of the recent revelation that Russia has begun the delivery of some $1 billion in arms and weapons systems to Azerbaijan , there is renewed concern over a possible shift in the already delicate regional balance of power in the volatile South Caucasus. Although this new arms deal does provide Azerbaijan with a significant amount of offensive weapons from Russia, including battle tanks, heavy artillery pieces and multiple rocket launchers, in strictly military terms, it is not sufficient to impact the balance of power on its own..
The Regional Studies Center (RSC) released a new report, “Armenia: Pre-Election Assessment,” RSC Special Analysis, Volume II No. 1, 31 January 2013..
The attached are the English- and Armenian-language versions of a short article on Armenian defense reform, entitled "Armenian Military & Security Policy: Regaining a Strategic Balance," to be published in the forthcoming issue of the "Yerevak" (Armenian-language) magazine.