RSC Analysis

As part of its series of early warning alerts, the RSC released a brief “situational assessment” on March 13, 2014 offering concise analysis of reports of unusual troop movements in Azerbaijan, triggering concern in Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh over a possible attack by Azerbaijani forces. The RSC Situational Assessment noted that “while some sources in Azerbaijan have confirmed these developments as part of a long-planned military exercise, other sources argue that the new, more assertive force posture may be in preparation for a new Azerbaijani incursion or reconnaissance probe of Armenian & Karabakh defensive positions.”

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NEW RSC PUBLICATION: “STRATEGIC SETBACK: ARMENIA AND THE CUSTOMS UNION”

Summary

In a surprise development, on September 3, 2013, Armenian President Serzh Sarkisian announced a dramatic “U-turn” in Armenian policy.  While in Moscow, after being summoned to a meeting with his Russian counterpart, the Armenian president promised Russian officials that Armenia would join the Russian-led “Customs Union,” and would support Moscow’s efforts to “integrate” the former Soviet space.  That decision effectively ended Armenia’s planned “initializing” of an Association Agreement and related Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA) with the European Union set for the Vilnius Summit in late November 2013.

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European Parliament

The European Parliament’s Committee on Foreign Affairs recently released a report from a joint meeting on September 18, 2013 focusing on “Turkey-Armenia Relations.”  The meeting included an “exchange of views” and “the presentation of a joint report on relations between Turkey and Armenia” by Richard Giragosian (Armenia) and Cengiz Aktar (Turkey).

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Konrad Adenauer Stiftung

The Konrad Adenauer Stiftung (KAS) South Caucasus has recently published a new book with contributions from a number of prominent experts and analysts from Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. The 370-page book was the culmination of a longer term intensive project involving several collaborative meetings and seminars among the authors aimed at formulating a comprehensive strategic vision of the region, with a focus on the political, economic and security dimensions of the South Caucasus.

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RSC CALLS FOR GREATER EU ENGAGEMENT IN NAGORNO-KARABAKH

In a brief four-page policy memo, the Regional Studies Center (RSC) called for greater engagement by the European Union in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, and issued a set of policy recommendations (see attached).

The policy memo, entitled, “The danger of deadlock: The imperative for European Union engagement in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict,” was published on 15 August 2013 by the Commonspace.eu Blog. http://commonspace.eu/eng/news/6/id2760

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